Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Lehecka (-2.5) vs Munar (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03007e1aa956fe900adfa76c6ff2170512ed68b3da8e7b78a5db2569cd8356c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Munarof Lehecka, Munar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7942…b60bbacked Munar | 79c | 1,904$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.47 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2938…caf8backed Munar | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed Lehecka | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lehecka | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Lehecka | 80c | 375$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Lehecka | 35c | 333$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Munar | 66c | 284.47$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.32 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lehecka | 30c | 242.71$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Lehecka | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x701e…6137backed Lehecka | 34c | 198.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.63 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Munar | 36c | 126.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.26 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Lehecka | 80c | 110$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Lehecka | 35c | 109.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Munar | 41c | 90.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Lehecka | 42c | 85.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Lehecka | 70c | 77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Lehecka | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Lehecka | 70c | 71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Lehecka | 37c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Munar | 64c | 56.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Lehecka | 35c | 45.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Lehecka | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3e…df5dbacked Lehecka | 70c | 31.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Munar | 64c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Lehecka | 80c | 24.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Munar | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Lehecka (-2.5) vs Munar (+2.5)this page
- Lehecka vs. Munar: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs MunarLehecka won
- Set 3 Winner: Lehecka vs MunarMunar won
- Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Munar (+1.5)Lehecka won
- Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Jaume MunarJiri Lehecka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.