Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Munar (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x338dfc50418b9d811448662254d5a43d2055dd69a6819c4b2deff6ffa7518760
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leheckaof Lehecka, Munar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Lehecka | 59c | 1,293$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.76 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Munar | 40c | 1,246$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.54 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Lehecka | 60c | 1,050$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Munar | 38c | 737.16$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.12 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lehecka | 59c | 694.77$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.99 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Munar | 40c | 637.19$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.88 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Munar | 40c | 599.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Lehecka | 62c | 564.52$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.52 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Munar | 41c | 492.97$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.12 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Munar | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Lehecka | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Munar | 39c | 127.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Lehecka | 61c | 109.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Lehecka | 62c | 84.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…7566backed Lehecka | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Lehecka | 58c | 59.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…ad3abacked Lehecka | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Munar | 40c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Lehecka | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lehecka | 59c | 24.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Lehecka | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Munar (+1.5)this page
- Lehecka vs. Munar: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs MunarLehecka won
- Set 3 Winner: Lehecka vs MunarMunar won
- Set Handicap: Lehecka (-2.5) vs Munar (+2.5)Munar won
- Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Jaume MunarJiri Lehecka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.