CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x031b20b948638cf896b37b24f240354a4f62c5b1ffed74c9397371b335502980
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bebopof HAVU, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,601 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Bebop | 50c | 2,273$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.46 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed HAVU | 50c | 1,903$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bebop | 43c | 791.81$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.08 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked HAVU | 52c | 693.2$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.79 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Bebop | 37c | 450.17$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.54 | 353 | 42.8%151 W · 202 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HAVU | 53c | 370.91$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.31 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796c…49dbbacked Bebop | 63c | 336.53$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.53 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…b890backed Bebop | 59c | 335$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe473…b468backed Bebop | 59c | 328$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc989…dcb3backed Bebop | 59c | 311$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa644…9f89backed Bebop | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Bebop | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…3799backed HAVU | 54c | 279.66$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.95 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…954fbacked Bebop | 59c | 267$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a71…daf9backed HAVU | 41c | 265$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x636c…1cc3backed HAVU | 41c | 258$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Bebop | 58c | 255.76$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.42 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbf…3b98backed HAVU | 41c | 248$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c9…0877backed HAVU | 41c | 246$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HAVU | 45c | 234.96$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.33 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb62…60fcbacked Bebop | 59c | 230$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6e…f83dbacked HAVU | 41c | 212$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f1…c219backed HAVU | 41c | 211$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddb…1111backed Bebop | 59c | 193$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a24…65c9backed HAVU | 41c | 187$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d6…fb56backed HAVU | 41c | 186$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked HAVU | 56c | 180.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca5…7215backed Bebop | 59c | 172$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4aa…729dbacked HAVU | 41c | 171$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Bebop | 49c | 167.06$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bebop | 75c | 156.54$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa875…7057backed HAVU | 41c | 152$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Bebop | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x679d…6f07backed Bebop | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…acb1backed HAVU | 53c | 89.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Bebop | 42c | 82.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Bebop | 47c | 52.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed HAVU | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bebop | 29c | 35.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Bebop | 45c | 30.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 158 | 64.6%102 W · 56 L | +15.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf95…fb2ebacked Bebop | 53c | 26.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Bebop | 64c | 21.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Bebop | 62c | 16.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group StageBebop won
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Bebop - Map 1 WinnerBebop won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.