CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d274c417d927b9a965ee41012cc1aad69b1310077bd4bc6abef026374670c31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bebopof HAVU, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,404 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2089…712ebacked HAVU | 28c | 1,267$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bebop | 72c | 989.69$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.89 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HAVU | 19c | 700.13$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.93 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bebop | 78c | 435.63$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.84 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bebop | 64c | 303.06$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HAVU | 25c | 275.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…3799backed HAVU | 22c | 232.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x679d…6f07backed HAVU | 15c | 231.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed HAVU | 36c | 226.89$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e5…5228backed HAVU | 11c | 178.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…4ceabacked HAVU | 27c | 171.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c59…7574backed HAVU | 35c | 154$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…1b34backed HAVU | 35c | 145$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Bebop | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Bebop | 63c | 135$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Bebop | 74c | 134.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed HAVU | 8c | 131$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HAVU | 16c | 128.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked HAVU | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked HAVU | 37c | 105$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed HAVU | 19c | 92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed HAVU | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x757e…8128backed HAVU | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…0151backed Bebop | 65c | 84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…acdbbacked Bebop | 65c | 82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479a…2d7fbacked Bebop | 65c | 79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…3302backed HAVU | 21c | 76.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…acb1backed Bebop | 69c | 71.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4714…c177backed Bebop | 64c | 62.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked HAVU | 37c | 61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed HAVU | 35c | 57.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed HAVU | 19c | 54.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200a…fb09backed Bebop | 65c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…ae36backed Bebop | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked Bebop | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bebop | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…19f5backed HAVU | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed HAVU | 25c | 45.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed HAVU | 29c | 45.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…4fa3backed Bebop | 72c | 40.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…fcf9backed HAVU | 28c | 35.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9a…07e6backed Bebop | 72c | 35.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da2…c429backed Bebop | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Bebop | 66c | 23.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Bebop | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Bebop | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…e59ebacked Bebop | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Bebop - Map 1 WinnerBebop won
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Bebop - Map 2 WinnerBebop won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.