CS2 · resolved market
Will m0NESY have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x039c9b0a90ff21b35a54f21bfe0336c96e0f3ae6ff7f67daa0b12908fefcbbe0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0354…2913backed Yes | 23c | 188.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…a7b8backed Yes | 21c | 137.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 9c | 137.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 75 | 9.3%7 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…68f6backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 13c | 87.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571d…4e76backed Yes | 74c | 65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 26c | 39.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…b05bbacked Yes | 31c | 37.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dff…f0c8backed No | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 42c | 29.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 56c | 23.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed No | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will m0NESY have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026this page
- Will ZywOo have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026No won
- Will s1zzi have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026Yes won
- Will sh1ro have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.