Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. UC Riverside Highlanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03b56f692a88d290eb23fb7de442a7cee03586fc958c732ee25fb7de5484fdb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UC Irvine Anteatersof UC Irvine Anteaters, UC Riverside Highlanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 16c | 3,085$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.39 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 78c | 1,200$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 23c | 1,169$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.82 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 6c | 1,023$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 19c | 526.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 23c | 434$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 22c | 414.87$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 22c | 380.91$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…4d9fbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 8c | 373.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 21c | 259.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 79c | 251.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 23c | 177$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 80c | 108$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 22c | 51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…8c27backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 79c | 17.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.