CS2 · resolved market
PGL Astana: The MongolZ vs. FURIA
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03b95971ad6c7ec09cffa1369d09be119d0d0f2ca534d3646e105a5e97fd7a43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The MongolZof The MongolZ, FURIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc599…4875backed FURIA | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf02…3638backed The MongolZ | 69c | 995$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked FURIA | 30c | 843.36$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.22 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked FURIA | 29c | 563.38$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.38 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked The MongolZ | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed The MongolZ | 71c | 469.18$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.14 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked The MongolZ | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked The MongolZ | 69c | 92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa90c…2ba6backed The MongolZ | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed The MongolZ | 68c | 69.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 755 | 50.6%382 W · 373 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd380…ea48backed FURIA | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdffc…53e6backed The MongolZ | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…7bb1backed The MongolZ | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…31efbacked The MongolZ | 69c | 27.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…2104backed The MongolZ | 70c | 20.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.