TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Kenneth Walker III play for San Francisco 49ers in 2026-27?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,787

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,787 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf6b2…09bebacked Yes27c293.45$79 inLost-$79.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e88…d530backed No73c283.9$207 inWon+$76.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2f1…69cdbacked No73c277.97$203 inWon+$75.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9932…a9bfbacked No73c275.99$201 inWon+$74.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…fcbebacked Yes27c274.84$74 inLost-$74.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x235e…ee03backed No73c274.84$201 inWon+$74.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e3…ca49backed Yes27c274.79$74 inLost-$74.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x031e…560dbacked Yes27c273.19$74 inLost-$73.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a4…4bd6backed Yes27c272.88$74 inLost-$73.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf044…6cf6backed No73c271.45$198 inWon+$73.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb9…ff36backed No73c241.97$177 inWon+$65.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cff…fb69backed No73c240.45$176 inWon+$64.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9726…2eafbacked No73c239.41$175 inWon+$64.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12a4…5546backed No73c223.11$163 inWon+$60.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6806…126dbacked No73c221$161 inWon+$59.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2705…af94backed No73c218.15$159 inWon+$58.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.