NFL · resolved market
Will Kenneth Walker III play for New York Jets in 2026-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ef3814e740c87829b814a615ea51227b1b94d531e82083f8c3068746360b6a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,605 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11b9…8f3fbacked No | 70c | 296.74$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…2eafbacked Yes | 30c | 296.61$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2f…0d79backed No | 70c | 294.03$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2705…af94backed Yes | 30c | 293.6$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cff…fb69backed Yes | 30c | 293$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…c8e8backed No | 70c | 285.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3097…bb91backed No | 70c | 279.69$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb304…b420backed No | 70c | 278.97$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a4…5546backed Yes | 30c | 275.65$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6806…126dbacked Yes | 30c | 274.54$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b2…09bebacked No | 71c | 246.17$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a4…4bd6backed No | 71c | 238.37$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…ca49backed No | 71c | 238.23$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5491…6e70backed No | 71c | 236.38$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031e…560dbacked No | 71c | 233.79$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…fcbebacked No | 71c | 232.24$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kenneth Walker III play for New York Jets in 2026-27?this page
- Will Kenneth Walker III play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27?Yes won
- Will Kenneth Walker III play for Las Vegas Raiders in 2026-27?No won
- Will Kenneth Walker III play for San Francisco 49ers in 2026-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.