Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FUSION vs LAZER - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x044aae38f69ca874d4b1c704f69ea188176ccc168fd24980d9bd75141b166980
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LAZERof FUSION, LAZER
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x904e…0becbacked LAZER | 72c | 254.7$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked LAZER | 76c | 240.68$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed FUSION | 48c | 193.56$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked FUSION | 42c | 188.72$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.26 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked LAZER | 52c | 168.56$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.91 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb09f…6382backed FUSION | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked FUSION | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…2fd9backed LAZER | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x960a…1b17backed LAZER | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…3404backed LAZER | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…1655backed FUSION | 42c | 90$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FUSION | 20c | 81.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked FUSION | 23c | 80.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FUSION | 18c | 69.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked FUSION | 28c | 53.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked LAZER | 67c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed LAZER | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FUSION vs LAZER - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: FUSION vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular SeasonLAZER won
- Valorant: FUSION vs LAZER - Map 1 WinnerLAZER won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.