CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x045ca3a04d91e55072b7d467b2e6fe537e0d9dc3f0c3c5771946d00db8d4ef1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked GamerLegion | 24c | 100,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,999.98 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed MOUZ | 76c | 72,881$55,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,491.42 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed GamerLegion | 23c | 50,030$11,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,756.6 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…085dbacked MOUZ | 77c | 50,030$38,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,756.9 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed MOUZ | 76c | 8,136$6,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked MOUZ | 75c | 5,142$3,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.5 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed MOUZ | 76c | 4,898$3,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.44 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed MOUZ | 76c | 3,944$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.46 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8206…7cacbacked GamerLegion | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked MOUZ | 76c | 1,630$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.2 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked MOUZ | 76c | 1,458$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.92 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…5231backed MOUZ | 76c | 1,385$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.42 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf822…093ebacked MOUZ | 76c | 1,315$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.56 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked GamerLegion | 25c | 876$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked GamerLegion | 10c | 861.06$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.93 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed GamerLegion | 25c | 750$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed MOUZ | 76c | 700$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked GamerLegion | 22c | 590.59$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.93 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed MOUZ | 76c | 553.75$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.9 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -19.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x74da…8701backed MOUZ | 78c | 512.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed GamerLegion | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…16bfbacked MOUZ | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked MOUZ | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed MOUZ | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…136abacked MOUZ | 76c | 306.64$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed GamerLegion | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed MOUZ | 76c | 170.14$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked GamerLegion | 23c | 164$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed MOUZ | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed MOUZ | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed MOUZ | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed GamerLegion | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 233 | 51.5%120 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 75c | 119.62$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked GamerLegion | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked MOUZ | 78c | 91.01$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc555…b513backed GamerLegion | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed GamerLegion | 24c | 87.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed MOUZ | 76c | 84.24$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd57c…2329backed MOUZ | 78c | 67.95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…22dabacked MOUZ | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed MOUZ | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked MOUZ | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1357…4fd4backed MOUZ | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed GamerLegion | 25c | 41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…8490backed MOUZ | 77c | 38.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55da…839abacked MOUZ | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked MOUZ | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed MOUZ | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked MOUZ | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8402backed MOUZ | 76c | 22.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -5.1wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.