CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x048ad4b2360d92f5e7ed4fdf1af5162c16cc3ce92e9be274a1c4e7725785c73f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Donstu Esportsof HEROIC Academy, Donstu Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked HEROIC Academy | 30c | 569.82$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.58 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked HEROIC Academy | 31c | 327.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Donstu Esports | 64c | 326.78$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.31 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked Donstu Esports | 70c | 316.84$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.11 | 171 | 42.1%72 W · 99 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…0da3backed Donstu Esports | 73c | 299.99$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed HEROIC Academy | 49c | 256.79$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.41 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked HEROIC Academy | 26c | 237.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.07 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff09…80b5backed HEROIC Academy | 15c | 196.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Donstu Esports | 67c | 193.05$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Donstu Esports | 68c | 148.13$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed HEROIC Academy | 45c | 143.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Donstu Esports | 65c | 133.36$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HEROIC Academy | 21c | 110.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed HEROIC Academy | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 187 | 58.3%109 W · 78 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Donstu Esports | 78c | 89.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Donstu Esports | 73c | 69.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fd…b019backed HEROIC Academy | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Donstu Esports | 66c | 52.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed HEROIC Academy | 32c | 51.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…d1b7backed Donstu Esports | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Donstu Esports | 70c | 31.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b3…2199backed Donstu Esports | 76c | 28.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Donstu Esports | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Donstu Esports | 41c | 24.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Donstu Esports | 71c | 23.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa291…0d81backed Donstu Esports | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Donstu Esports | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Donstu Esports | 66c | 19.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Donstu Esports | 71c | 19.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Donstu Esports | 74c | 17.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Donstu Esports | 64c | 16.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4910…1f9ebacked Donstu Esports | 69c | 15.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Donstu Esports | 69c | 14.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Donstu Esports | 72c | 14.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 190 | 50%95 W · 95 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 WinnerDonstu Esports won
- Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 WinnerDonstu Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.