Tennis · resolved market
ITF Luan: Alina Tikhonova vs JiaYi Wang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x049dc68e5d66ef93124f2514badd18aa07694007bddcd55b33d930e3773752e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alina Tikhonovaof Alina Tikhonova, JiaYi Wang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e93…9145backed JiaYi Wang | 42c | 1,045$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.08 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed JiaYi Wang | 19c | 750$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed JiaYi Wang | 46c | 599.99$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.37 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Alina Tikhonova | 73c | 520.2$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.86 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked JiaYi Wang | 37c | 499.43$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.74 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Alina Tikhonova | 54c | 388$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.27 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alina Tikhonova | 63c | 377.35$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.43 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Alina Tikhonova | 54c | 185.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.34 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Alina Tikhonova | 78c | 173.08$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed JiaYi Wang | 26c | 144.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 309 | 31.1%96 W · 213 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…c994backed Alina Tikhonova | 64c | 130$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223b…971cbacked JiaYi Wang | 24c | 118.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked Alina Tikhonova | 69c | 100.87$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed JiaYi Wang | 33c | 94.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Alina Tikhonova | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Alina Tikhonova | 54c | 74.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…a760backed Alina Tikhonova | 74c | 58.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4df…d3dabacked Alina Tikhonova | 72c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…d9ebbacked Alina Tikhonova | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alina Tikhonova | 69c | 36.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Alina Tikhonova | 64c | 28.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked JiaYi Wang | 49c | 21.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Alina Tikhonova | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Luan: Alina Tikhonova vs JiaYi Wangthis page
- ITF Women Luan: Completed Match: Alina Tikhonova vs JiaYi WangYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.