Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x050355d9061b3d68ec65a0191ef9e92a8964f512d61d4e2395dd9f02363f9a0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oh My Godof Ninjas in Pyjamas, Oh My God
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 42c | 524.74$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.32 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Oh My God | 66c | 515.85$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.39 | 136 | 58.8%80 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 34c | 508.71$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.96 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oh My God | 59c | 352$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.03 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Oh My God | 57c | 329.81$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.76 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 39c | 264.05$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.74 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Oh My God | 56c | 259.33$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.1 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…5066backed Oh My God | 62c | 255.13$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 19c | 155.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Oh My God | 40c | 155.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.4 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Oh My God | 59c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 254 | 66.5%169 W · 85 L | +22.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 42c | 70.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 840 | 41%344 W · 496 L | -38.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 43c | 63.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 749 | 49.7%372 W · 377 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Oh My God | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…afbcbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 42c | 47.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…804ebacked Oh My God | 64c | 47.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 43c | 46.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7af…e28cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c49…c6c2backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 44c | 44.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 34c | 40.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 259 | 60.2%156 W · 103 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 37c | 35.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)this page
- Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?Yes won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1Oh My God won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God - Game 1 WinnerOh My God won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God - Game 2 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.