Premier League · resolved market
Will Oxford United FC win on 2025-12-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05ab784b83be939ef2d05507572a6eb27ab45d266b03ba52f4599f116f2e2d52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 2,171$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.13 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 20c | 1,786$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.15 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 1,389$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.61 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 20c | 1,324$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.8 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 20c | 887$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.4 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 20c | 667.81$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.56 | 239 | 20.9%50 W · 189 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 62c | 314.78$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.56 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 21c | 303.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 44c | 243$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.15 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed No | 48c | 240.13$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 61c | 198$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.83 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 58c | 160.47$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.02 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Yes | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 71c | 136.14$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked No | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 38c | 121.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 19c | 104.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 55c | 103$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 80c | 81.25$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…ab51backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 78c | 76.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…8507backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 79c | 12.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.65 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oxford United FC win on 2025-12-09?this page
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-12-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.