Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05b12ea5e2b2854ef4b8c7c7372e45b88a1eefff73bf66044992e2573a3b04a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oklahoma Soonersof Oklahoma Sooners, South Carolina Gamecocks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,990 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Oklahoma Sooners | 51c | 697.26$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.66 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 57c | 513.46$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.15 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 49c | 294.4$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.26 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 49c | 202.11$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.03 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…b1dcbacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 49c | 194.65$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Oklahoma Sooners | 52c | 148.69$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 48c | 138.69$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Oklahoma Sooners | 52c | 136$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Oklahoma Sooners | 51c | 123.91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 48c | 97.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 48c | 95.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 51c | 93.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 74c | 84.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…b62cbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 53c | 79.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Oklahoma Sooners | 53c | 65.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 51c | 62.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 59c | 47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef56…b743backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 51c | 42.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Oklahoma Sooners | 62c | 39.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Oklahoma Sooners | 58c | 28.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 48c | 25.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-7.5)this page
- South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Oklahoma SoonersOklahoma Sooners won
- Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-8.5)Oklahoma Sooners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.