Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa9ea5aaa03038d1842e064315d6bed1614eab69da2995bf08acc707753550c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oklahoma Soonersof Oklahoma Sooners, South Carolina Gamecocks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,999 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oklahoma Sooners | 55c | 1,114$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.44 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 54c | 927.05$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.61 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 48c | 452.5$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.22 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oklahoma Sooners | 46c | 352.59$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.06 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 50c | 343.72$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.26 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 42c | 231.65$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 49c | 216.92$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.63 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Oklahoma Sooners | 48c | 198.42$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.18 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 52c | 197.35$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.68 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -8.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 46c | 195.93$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 52c | 188.83$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 53c | 187.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oklahoma Sooners | 46c | 153.52$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Oklahoma Sooners | 46c | 144.73$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Oklahoma Sooners | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Oklahoma Sooners | 46c | 35.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 48c | 26.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Oklahoma Sooners | 48c | 24.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Oklahoma Sooners | 48c | 23.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Oklahoma Sooners | 66c | 19.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-8.5)this page
- South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Oklahoma SoonersOklahoma Sooners won
- Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-7.5)Oklahoma Sooners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.