Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Orleans Privateers vs. Nicholls Colonels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0626021adf6e090218c2ac6c066bce895126f2b2a51d3d249f8a3489fda3775c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Orleans Privateersof New Orleans Privateers, Nicholls Colonels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Nicholls Colonels | 63c | 288.6$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.12 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed New Orleans Privateers | 35c | 237$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.05 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed New Orleans Privateers | 41c | 209$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.62 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7a…7839backed New Orleans Privateers | 28c | 160$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eed…2f6ebacked Nicholls Colonels | 72c | 160$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nicholls Colonels | 63c | 94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…b2d9backed New Orleans Privateers | 34c | 79.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked New Orleans Privateers | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed New Orleans Privateers | 24c | 56.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nicholls Colonels | 65c | 50.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked New Orleans Privateers | 39c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Nicholls Colonels | 60c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Nicholls Colonels | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Nicholls Colonels | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…c7fabacked Nicholls Colonels | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.