Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Botswana
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x062ec3a88f6e2d3b4f4407dc9ccd9a5592ec9cfdf64dacacdefb8f11a8d002bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Botswanaof Ivory Coast, Botswana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27ff…28c1backed Ivory Coast | 2c | 10,195$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee5…51bfbacked Ivory Coast | 0c | 9,700$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d6…c101backed Ivory Coast | 1c | 9,678$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee2b…f703backed Ivory Coast | 0c | 7,420$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f96…fdc5backed Ivory Coast | 0c | 7,060$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x251f…671cbacked Ivory Coast | 2c | 6,336$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c79…8fdcbacked Ivory Coast | 1c | 6,156$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd167…31f9backed Ivory Coast | 1c | 2,719$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cea…1384backed Ivory Coast | 2c | 1,857$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Ivory Coast | 2c | 1,583$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Ivory Coast | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…7982backed Ivory Coast | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…63bfbacked Ivory Coast | 2c | 933.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7b…83f3backed Ivory Coast | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Botswanathis page
- T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Botswana - Who wins the toss?Botswana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.