Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tianjin: Thasaporn Naklo vs Ruien Zhang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06304a2ba75f6c7b7f0ce343b56664bbf77944e3034efac5d03414f733a81127
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ruien Zhangof Thasaporn Naklo, Ruien Zhang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Thasaporn Naklo | 37c | 1,443$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.84 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ruien Zhang | 47c | 960.51$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.72 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Thasaporn Naklo | 8c | 449$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Thasaporn Naklo | 49c | 425.94$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.27 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ruien Zhang | 47c | 360.53$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.08 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ruien Zhang | 58c | 335.91$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.49 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Thasaporn Naklo | 53c | 154.72$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 392 | 60.5%237 W · 155 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Ruien Zhang | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…0685backed Thasaporn Naklo | 53c | 145.34$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.03 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Thasaporn Naklo | 62c | 142.89$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.05 | 221 | 52.5%116 W · 105 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Ruien Zhang | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 932 | 58.5%545 W · 387 L | +22.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Thasaporn Naklo | 54c | 119.07$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Thasaporn Naklo | 44c | 110$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Ruien Zhang | 40c | 102.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Ruien Zhang | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 3,204 | 40.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Ruien Zhang | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 3,412 | 39.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L | -11.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Thasaporn Naklo | 67c | 75.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 824 | 60.6%499 W · 325 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Thasaporn Naklo | 53c | 42.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163d…7c69backed Thasaporn Naklo | 54c | 37.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -32.8wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ruien Zhang | 48c | 32.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed Ruien Zhang | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Thasaporn Naklo | 53c | 27.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 352 | 58.2%205 W · 147 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Thasaporn Naklo | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…a6adbacked Thasaporn Naklo | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…391dbacked Thasaporn Naklo | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x975c…6343backed Thasaporn Naklo | 60c | 22.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.