Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Keegan Smith vs Juan Pablo Ficovich
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06550cf2f484217d3b6452d4d642fd6bc44a0ba90ed64ed87e604159fdd94eb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keegan Smithof Keegan Smith, Juan Pablo Ficovich
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1173…037ebacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 12c | 11,956$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.76 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 7c | 4,124$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.5 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 28c | 2,541$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 36c | 1,850$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.1 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Keegan Smith | 71c | 1,844$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.75 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Keegan Smith | 73c | 1,277$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.21 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 8c | 741.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 11c | 618.18$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 306 | 42.2%129 W · 177 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.21 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Keegan Smith | 72c | 422.54$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.31 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 11c | 373.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0374…1782backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 36c | 333.31$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 32c | 330.56$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.17 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 10c | 310$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Keegan Smith | 65c | 299$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.65 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 28c | 295.95$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 17c | 271.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 7c | 239.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 36c | 204$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.23 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 38c | 198.08$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa885…6441backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 43c | 140.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 35c | 109.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Keegan Smith | 63c | 108.24$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 37c | 101.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 37c | 86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Keegan Smith | 68c | 84.79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Keegan Smith | 56c | 81.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 41c | 75.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 40c | 74.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 37c | 48.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 28c | 48.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Keegan Smith | 65c | 43.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Keegan Smith | 64c | 41.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Keegan Smith | 64c | 39.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Keegan Smith | 60c | 32.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcad…1d64backed Keegan Smith | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Keegan Smith | 62c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Keegan Smith | 80c | 23.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fb…f041backed Keegan Smith | 63c | 18.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Keegan Smith | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 437 | 50.3%220 W · 217 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Keegan Smith | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 386 | 64%247 W · 139 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2c…be40backed Keegan Smith | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Keegan Smith vs Juan Pablo Ficovichthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Smith vs FicovichSmith won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.