Asian League · resolved market
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06623054b16ff7aa01ae9ccd44d0bb388453d87a182e6af048e52f043509b372
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,743 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x975b…3760backed Over | 48c | 2,379$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under | 51c | 1,530$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.96 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 42c | 1,158$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.73 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 49c | 1,004$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.72 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x092e…c685backed Over | 50c | 940.66$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 68c | 639.81$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.81 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 67c | 441.87$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.94 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 34c | 429.31$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.89 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 52c | 425$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.75 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 54c | 375.98$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.98 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 56c | 330.52$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.79 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 50c | 308.96$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.96 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…668bbacked Over | 68c | 280.93$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Under | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 47c | 199.87$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.93 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 180.73$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.13 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 48c | 150.49$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 27c | 148.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 50c | 139.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 58c | 132.64$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 64c | 117.54$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…1678backed Over | 52c | 105.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +180.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 65.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…c258backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed Under | 53c | 57.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 49c | 54.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 62c | 53.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c0…9f76backed Over | 41c | 42.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…5e83backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 69c | 28.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed Under | 52c | 22.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 49c | 21.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbe…4d88backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5this page
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5Under won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5)FC Anyang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.