Other European Leagues · resolved market
SBV Excelsior vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06660cdb6727cc2eb8bae56d860eda24ae6d3552e1a69555613e00aa9c54fd05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 7,699$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,659.71 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Over | 73c | 4,550$3,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,321.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 80c | 3,811$3,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,031.7 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 75cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 3,621$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.03 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 50c | 1,980$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 1,732$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.46 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…2b76backed Over | 58c | 1,372$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 40c | 1,023$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.28 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 21c | 986.72$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.93 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 47c | 667.56$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.71 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 65c | 632.35$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 51c | 588$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over | 44c | 460$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 438.42$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.43 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 20c | 403.5$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.8 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 70c | 374.29$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Under | 58c | 347.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.41 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 316$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 243.21$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 55c | 231$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Over | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 132.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.77 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 47c | 106.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 30%27 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 66c | 89.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…5863backed Under | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 41c | 73.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e2…0dcdbacked Under | 22c | 70.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4868…c8d1backed Under | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 79c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 49.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 66c | 49.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Under | 35c | 38.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Under | 43c | 25.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…c28dbacked Over | 65c | 23.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…4fc5backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SBV Excelsior vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 1.5this page
- SBV Excelsior vs. Go Ahead Eagles: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SBV Excelsior vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5Under won
- SBV Excelsior vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Go Ahead Eagles (-2.5)SBV Excelsior won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.