Tennis · resolved market
ITF Maanshan: Maria Kalyakina vs Anastasiia Gureva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06cb5e5462f2fdb169ed9c14a01267c261134d75eecdee3873c87620fecc081c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maria Kalyakinaof Maria Kalyakina, Anastasiia Gureva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Maria Kalyakina | 61c | 814.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.68 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Anastasiia Gureva | 45c | 599.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Anastasiia Gureva | 52c | 560.56$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.74 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Anastasiia Gureva | 42c | 550.32$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.14 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Maria Kalyakina | 59c | 484.31$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.59 | 179 | 41.3%74 W · 105 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Anastasiia Gureva | 38c | 447.03$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.9 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Anastasiia Gureva | 39c | 442.02$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.39 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Maria Kalyakina | 55c | 366.97$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.14 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Maria Kalyakina | 48c | 259.86$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.34 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Maria Kalyakina | 55c | 203.64$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.64 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…4723backed Maria Kalyakina | 59c | 166.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked Maria Kalyakina | 51c | 141.47$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf03…9538backed Anastasiia Gureva | 42c | 92.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Maria Kalyakina | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anastasiia Gureva | 38c | 49.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Maria Kalyakina | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Anastasiia Gureva | 41c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…0b12backed Maria Kalyakina | 63c | 34.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked Maria Kalyakina | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Anastasiia Gureva | 42c | 25.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Maria Kalyakina | 55c | 21.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Anastasiia Gureva | 52c | 20.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Maria Kalyakina | 55c | 20.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.