Tennis · resolved market
ITF Louisville: Evan Bynoe vs Eli Stephenson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x073b3864e46377b893b8db1193cd8817f6e6d3910f9c7c6ba4c7e2062ac32b8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Evan Bynoeof Evan Bynoe, Eli Stephenson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Eli Stephenson | 44c | 641.84$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.15 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d7…f9bbbacked Eli Stephenson | 28c | 491.45$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.52 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Evan Bynoe | 55c | 454.67$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.94 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Eli Stephenson | 51c | 437.5$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.91 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Evan Bynoe | 64c | 192.6$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Evan Bynoe | 55c | 183.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 182 | 58.8%107 W · 75 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Evan Bynoe | 76c | 166.29$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Evan Bynoe | 54c | 109.42$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Eli Stephenson | 32c | 106.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Eli Stephenson | 45c | 101.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Evan Bynoe | 55c | 92.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Evan Bynoe | 55c | 92.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Evan Bynoe | 64c | 89.52$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Evan Bynoe | 53c | 76.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Evan Bynoe | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Evan Bynoe | 53c | 38.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Evan Bynoe | 59c | 37.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Evan Bynoe | 54c | 26.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c5…be94backed Evan Bynoe | 54c | 20.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Evan Bynoe | 50c | 20.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.