Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida State vs. Virginia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07442c12ca64d9453e549bf83bcaf597e04419dad86f951cf84fea1e5a10dcad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virginiaof Florida State, Virginia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Virginia | 51c | 420$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.73 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…6214backed Virginia | 63c | 325$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9781…6facbacked Florida State | 46c | 316$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…8806backed Florida State | 46c | 259$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…de5ebacked Virginia | 80c | 227$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…fe26backed Florida State | 37c | 162$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…8a39backed Virginia | 50c | 113$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +140.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3984…918dbacked Florida State | 34c | 87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Virginia | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Florida State | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd3…1f26backed Virginia | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a9…0d8fbacked Virginia | 65c | 71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4304…c6ffbacked Florida State | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…6626backed Florida State | 20c | 56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5417…cc57backed Florida State | 66c | 56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…dbfbbacked Florida State | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd02…d10cbacked Florida State | 37c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…8372backed Virginia | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8b…e0b7backed Florida State | 37c | 49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde78…cd1abacked Virginia | 34c | 48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598f…2324backed Florida State | 37c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e21…5c56backed Florida State | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3b…22ccbacked Florida State | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Virginia | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c70…265abacked Virginia | 63c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x716c…c00ebacked Virginia | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…4860backed Virginia | 34c | 44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1921…758cbacked Virginia | 63c | 43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x097a…d532backed Florida State | 50c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f05…604dbacked Florida State | 64c | 43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe03c…a72abacked Virginia | 34c | 43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…aadabacked Virginia | 34c | 42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…4bfabacked Florida State | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e14…bb7bbacked Virginia | 36c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1954…f713backed Florida State | 50c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b4…35d9backed Florida State | 38c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…bf29backed Virginia | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96cf…7e24backed Florida State | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3c…069dbacked Virginia | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…f6ecbacked Florida State | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa67…3c06backed Florida State | 66c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa393…708cbacked Florida State | 38c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1b…ca2cbacked Florida State | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a44…b2a1backed Virginia | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb45…7fbcbacked Virginia | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc788…5811backed Florida State | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…5cacbacked Virginia | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7912…fa94backed Florida State | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c73…7cb6backed Virginia | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8d…0d80backed Florida State | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…ed8ebacked Virginia | 36c | 34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Florida State | 36c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd196…4bb0backed Virginia | 61c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe448…4d64backed Virginia | 80c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…5475backed Florida State | 37c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x830a…4409backed Florida State | 37c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…7218backed Florida State | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f2…6993backed Virginia | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…1fb8backed Florida State | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x603f…dc31backed Virginia | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0301…ecb1backed Virginia | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…e8a7backed Florida State | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde3f…1621backed Virginia | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4195…a072backed Virginia | 80c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…fbcbbacked Florida State | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb173…8246backed Florida State | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcd…1083backed Virginia | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7a…8900backed Virginia | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7021…2045backed Virginia | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…b46fbacked Virginia | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…8046backed Virginia | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fb…7ebebacked Virginia | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f5…a0d4backed Florida State | 64c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d15…2605backed Virginia | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bbd0backed Virginia | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa567…a63abacked Florida State | 66c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…9403backed Florida State | 64c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd79b…da6fbacked Virginia | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Virginia | 62c | 21.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1a…8f11backed Florida State | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce17…62fabacked Virginia | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd309…273fbacked Virginia | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2a…6fc6backed Virginia | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…a602backed Virginia | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c7…93a1backed Virginia | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa91…6d40backed Virginia | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…b923backed Virginia | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.