Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: UAB Blazers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0768ea85343ba2c76e75e06270a617c82ed86a1953709424aa8a070e5ac39858
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tulane Green Waveof UAB Blazers, Tulane Green Wave
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tulane Green Wave | 49c | 17,661$8,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,076.45 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed UAB Blazers | 51c | 14,690$7,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,510.19 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed UAB Blazers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked UAB Blazers | 54c | 1,855$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tulane Green Wave | 45c | 957.6$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.6 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed UAB Blazers | 54c | 925$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Tulane Green Wave | 49c | 398$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.98 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Tulane Green Wave | 48c | 139.63$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.61 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Tulane Green Wave | 44c | 130$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Tulane Green Wave | 45c | 113.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed UAB Blazers | 53c | 101.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Tulane Green Wave | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Tulane Green Wave | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Tulane Green Wave | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Tulane Green Wave | 48c | 41.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked UAB Blazers | 53c | 37.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed UAB Blazers | 54c | 37.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Tulane Green Wave | 44c | 36.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed UAB Blazers | 54c | 30.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…6b37backed UAB Blazers | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tulane Green Wave | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UAB Blazers (-5.5)this page
- Spread: UAB Blazers (-6.5)Tulane Green Wave won
- Tulane Green Wave vs. UAB BlazersTulane Green Wave won
- Tulane Green Wave vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 152.5Under won
- Tulane Green Wave vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 153.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.