CS2 · resolved market
FISSURE Playground 1: Virtus.pro vs. MIBR
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x077f8a96f0130f2f74cd87c6f72812baa6459daf5814793b7ef427d2b29f1d4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof Virtus.pro, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked MIBR | 70c | 685.06$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.52 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Virtus.pro | 44c | 682.46$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.07 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed MIBR | 54c | 454.43$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.04 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked MIBR | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Virtus.pro | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed MIBR | 60c | 241.81$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…0ccebacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 228.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 125.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed MIBR | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked MIBR | 61c | 47.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked MIBR | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 32.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce47…41d8backed MIBR | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.