CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Rebels Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0799b169893049dff4e85b09b53d20626281028f34ebebda8b7f4b5e242d0974
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MINLATEof MINLATE, Rebels Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,076 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MINLATE | 57c | 379.49$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.36 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Rebels Gaming | 21c | 327$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Rebels Gaming | 52c | 316.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.54 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa0…c3acbacked MINLATE | 52c | 292.17$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.74 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…7307backed MINLATE | 79c | 253.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MINLATE | 54c | 164.21$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ff…5f94backed MINLATE | 69c | 144$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…b591backed Rebels Gaming | 57c | 115.11$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Rebels Gaming | 45c | 95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Rebels Gaming | 45c | 71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed MINLATE | 53c | 61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Rebels Gaming | 45c | 57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MINLATE | 43c | 33.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22c…badebacked Rebels Gaming | 47c | 30.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…5080backed MINLATE | 67c | 25.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd354…ff2fbacked Rebels Gaming | 65c | 23.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Rebels Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group StageRebels Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Rebels Gaming - Map 2 WinnerRebels Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.