CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Rebels Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b800655da0cc214eb1f5d488555360347e887f9337806b9a62242a12e3ee708
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rebels Gamingof MINLATE, Rebels Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,598 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MINLATE | 21c | 895.06$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.51 | 3,994 | 36.5%1,456 W · 2,538 L | -207.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed MINLATE | 42c | 859$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.54 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63ff…5f94backed MINLATE | 41c | 587.82$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.18 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Rebels Gaming | 78c | 513.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.17 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rebels Gaming | 58c | 384.1$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.26 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Rebels Gaming | 54c | 374.28$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.31 | 5,400 | 31.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L | -393.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…7307backed Rebels Gaming | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee6…0668backed Rebels Gaming | 72c | 105.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Rebels Gaming | 51c | 105.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Rebels Gaming | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…9429backed Rebels Gaming | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked Rebels Gaming | 58c | 87.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Rebels Gaming | 58c | 86.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rebels Gaming | 67c | 79.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 6,522 | 42.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L | -80.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4296…a9b1backed MINLATE | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Rebels Gaming | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Rebels Gaming | 67c | 64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Rebels Gaming | 61c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Rebels Gaming | 78c | 58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rebels Gaming | 70c | 55.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed Rebels Gaming | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22c…badebacked MINLATE | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Rebels Gaming | 71c | 42.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked MINLATE | 37c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…5080backed Rebels Gaming | 70c | 36.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Rebels Gaming | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3d…5d2fbacked Rebels Gaming | 78c | 25.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Rebels Gaming | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Rebels Gaming | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef59…f4debacked Rebels Gaming | 76c | 17.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Rebels Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group StageRebels Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Rebels Gaming - Map 1 WinnerMINLATE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.