Tennis · resolved market
Lugano: Maxim Mrva vs Zsombor Piros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07b2a953605740150cebd4adc03a286fba915944dd68e23fb013fb2e444faba4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zsombor Pirosof Maxim Mrva, Zsombor Piros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd7ec…31dabacked Maxim Mrva | 0c | 8,065$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Maxim Mrva | 0c | 5,619$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Maxim Mrva | 17c | 3,596$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.33 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Zsombor Piros | 78c | 2,320$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.06 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Zsombor Piros | 72c | 1,806$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.55 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Maxim Mrva | 23c | 1,249$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.6 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Maxim Mrva | 23c | 1,149$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.59 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…fa8ebacked Maxim Mrva | 28c | 1,030$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.68 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Maxim Mrva | 20c | 1,028$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.21 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…6736backed Maxim Mrva | 28c | 831.68$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.87 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Zsombor Piros | 74c | 438.99$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.78 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Maxim Mrva | 4c | 333.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Maxim Mrva | 24c | 285.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Zsombor Piros | 73c | 250.68$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Zsombor Piros | 73c | 230$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Maxim Mrva | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Maxim Mrva | 26c | 114.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Maxim Mrva | 37c | 113.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…067fbacked Maxim Mrva | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Zsombor Piros | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Zsombor Piros | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5904…940fbacked Zsombor Piros | 77c | 90.15$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 114 | 65.8%75 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Maxim Mrva | 16c | 86.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Maxim Mrva | 19c | 84.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Maxim Mrva | 20c | 73.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Zsombor Piros | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Maxim Mrva | 15c | 64.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Zsombor Piros | 70c | 63.55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Maxim Mrva | 30c | 61.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Maxim Mrva | 25c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Zsombor Piros | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Zsombor Piros | 75c | 42.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Zsombor Piros | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc871…2f76backed Zsombor Piros | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Zsombor Piros | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8280…a6d2backed Zsombor Piros | 76c | 22.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Zsombor Piros | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…ad29backed Zsombor Piros | 74c | 18.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb497…ce7ebacked Zsombor Piros | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Zsombor Piros | 76c | 15.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fc…a83bbacked Zsombor Piros | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.