Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: James McCabe vs Zdenek Kolar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08e34a560a52eb83c01b2f48f9dea2a6f748f973c2fd5b80b88773c8c43bbc65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zdenek Kolarof James McCabe, Zdenek Kolar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed James McCabe | 2c | 16,040$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.9 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked James McCabe | 19c | 3,103$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.63 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c84…4fe3backed James McCabe | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed James McCabe | 14c | 1,150$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.01 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked James McCabe | 14c | 773.16$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed James McCabe | 16c | 769.66$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.45 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…eb16backed James McCabe | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed James McCabe | 13c | 506.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked James McCabe | 13c | 493.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed James McCabe | 14c | 441.88$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed James McCabe | 14c | 359.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6288…7c0abacked James McCabe | 21c | 243.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked James McCabe | 22c | 221.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked James McCabe | 15c | 180.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed James McCabe | 18c | 145.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed James McCabe | 13c | 145.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…988dbacked James McCabe | 15c | 135.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed James McCabe | 15c | 133.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked James McCabe | 13c | 125$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed James McCabe | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed James McCabe | 16c | 88.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed James McCabe | 14c | 88.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed James McCabe | 14c | 83.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…6eb7backed James McCabe | 15c | 65.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…5eeabacked Zdenek Kolar | 80c | 15.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 230 | 73.9%170 W · 60 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 78cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: James McCabe vs Zdenek Kolarthis page
- Set 1 Winner: McCabe vs KolarKolar won
- Set Handicap: Kolar (-1.5) vs McCabe (+1.5)Kolar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.