La Liga · resolved market
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08f5c73d168b60f6eb2609de6eef62c24c51b7d83ab45765f82bfcef5970899e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +284.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eae…fbaebacked Yes | 30c | 1,508$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4eb…161fbacked No | 70c | 1,504$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,245$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 903.41$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.41 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 7c | 418.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 10c | 338$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed Yes | 10c | 300.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked No | 75c | 234.33$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +73%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 25c | 177.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 32c | 156.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 69c | 141.58$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeff…5779backed Yes | 11c | 130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 70c | 125$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 29c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 105.4$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 29c | 98.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 70c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 31c | 80.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 31c | 72.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +14.7wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-02-01?this page
- Will SD Huesca vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?No won
- Will SD Huesca win on 2026-02-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.