Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Eastern Washington Eagles vs. Loyola Marymount Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x095c2bedf559c4e120cd24178daed31df63dc2ac19f078c50644f1bfc6b46ab0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Loyola Marymount Lionsof Eastern Washington Eagles, Loyola Marymount Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 46c | 2,700$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 54c | 2,012$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.28 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 20c | 1,990$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.05 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 80c | 1,358$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.6 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 20c | 501.15$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.06 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 79c | 452.58$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.86 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 75c | 445$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.25 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 25c | 409$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.25 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 80c | 364$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 78c | 359.65$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.28 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 25c | 187.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 75c | 133.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 38c | 126$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 21c | 94.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 75c | 56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.