CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs AaB Esport - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x098c881f061b5cf6ecba5dd256602c7daaf8fc4e173f0c5bf4f0d8b15f1f0c17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIG Academyof BIG Academy, AaB Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2924…0f31backed AaB Esport | 34c | 1,405$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.74 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked BIG Academy | 79c | 1,058$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.62 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked AaB Esport | 25c | 512.36$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.12 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed BIG Academy | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked AaB Esport | 61c | 398.9$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.61 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked BIG Academy | 38c | 300$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed AaB Esport | 61c | 279.95$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.77 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked BIG Academy | 64c | 261.47$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed AaB Esport | 28c | 230.59$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.51 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BIG Academy | 39c | 225.81$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.75 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed AaB Esport | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 107 | 25.2%27 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked BIG Academy | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked AaB Esport | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed AaB Esport | 66c | 189.01$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked AaB Esport | 61c | 168.41$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…0662backed BIG Academy | 33c | 120$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked AaB Esport | 62c | 109.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed BIG Academy | 77c | 101.73$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed BIG Academy | 27c | 93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.92 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed BIG Academy | 33c | 85.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed AaB Esport | 63c | 70.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed AaB Esport | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed BIG Academy | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed BIG Academy | 47c | 40.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs AaB Esport - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs AaB Esport (BO3) - European Pro League Regular PlayoffsBIG Academy won
- Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs AaB Esport - Map 2 WinnerBIG Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.