Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Kira Pavlova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09ac2cea5e4c17fe1781475a9aaa3082fb16a125cbfdfc931d39f28bb03a458f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yidi Yangof Yidi Yang, Kira Pavlova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kira Pavlova | 30c | 1,517$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.12 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Kira Pavlova | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 23.1%24 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Kira Pavlova | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 0%0 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…2928backed Kira Pavlova | 10c | 914.32$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yidi Yang | 70c | 874$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.39 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yidi Yang | 69c | 619.03$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.78 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kira Pavlova | 38c | 499.96$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.71 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Yidi Yang | 71c | 404.33$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.26 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kira Pavlova | 5c | 356$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Yidi Yang | 70c | 322.71$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kira Pavlova | 10c | 208.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…3f90backed Kira Pavlova | 14c | 143.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Yidi Yang | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…8c11backed Kira Pavlova | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce5c…a409backed Kira Pavlova | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…20e4backed Yidi Yang | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 102 | 64.7%66 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Kira Pavlova | 39c | 94.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Yidi Yang | 50c | 84.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…a66ebacked Kira Pavlova | 35c | 74.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Yidi Yang | 72c | 69.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kira Pavlova | 30c | 66.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Kira Pavlova | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Kira Pavlova | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 145 | 31.7%46 W · 99 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…f5f7backed Yidi Yang | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb106…1ae2backed Yidi Yang | 68c | 43.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Kira Pavlova | 27c | 38.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Kira Pavlova | 27c | 37.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Yidi Yang | 63c | 28.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e37…fc07backed Yidi Yang | 69c | 27.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked Yidi Yang | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Yidi Yang | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Yidi Yang | 74c | 18.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.