Premier League · resolved market
Southampton FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09d71a8207fe15b3aefb75b77c5a57b8f44da09026300ee276e3b782349c8dd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 54c | 14,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,499.99 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 46c | 6,780$3,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,661.15 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 3,776$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.4 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 47c | 2,200$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 957.51$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.48 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 50c | 499$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.5 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 419.98$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.39 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 47c | 312.22$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.48 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 47c | 248.14$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.51 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 54c | 178$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.12 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Over | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 22.7%17 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 59.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 47c | 52.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 75c | 48.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 47.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc0…ad7dbacked Under | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…a90dbacked Over | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 46c | 23.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3393…e6b3backed Over | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southampton FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Southampton FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Southampton FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.