Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Twente '65 vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09ee7c7abe4a8a3123271e9610eae7791160e446485cb8267edf67ace3e96360
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 4,835$3,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.62 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 24c | 4,069$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.34 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 77c | 1,386$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.28 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,211$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 1,029$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.2 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 80c | 1,001$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.01 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 80c | 557.31$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.97 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 15c | 452.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 20c | 449$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 19c | 436.18$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.13 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 26c | 380$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 20c | 355.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 19c | 328.09$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 32c | 206.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 184.02$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa349…81ecbacked No | 76c | 170.88$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…58fdbacked Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb648…c2ddbacked Yes | 24c | 157.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 10c | 142.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 20c | 124.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 18c | 111.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 73c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 64.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…ca50backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 80c | 62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 74cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 20c | 58.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…b6ecbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfde1…925dbacked Yes | 31c | 32.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 78c | 32.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 17.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 76c | 15.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f88…293bbacked No | 80c | 13.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Twente '65 vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-02-22?No won
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-02-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.