Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier B: Saint Helena vs Seychelles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a0012bb4651564b34e61b5f7b2ee8aa877d7d2b9131fbc1906f6b2af8a3f62c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seychellesof Saint Helena, Seychelles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,349 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Saint Helena | 0c | 3,705$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Seychelles | 44c | 527.62$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.47 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Saint Helena | 22c | 470.8$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.79 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Saint Helena | 6c | 421.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…9f87backed Seychelles | 46c | 198.33$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.04 | 147 | 30.6%45 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Saint Helena | 53c | 194.75$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.59 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Seychelles | 44c | 136.35$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Saint Helena | 19c | 133.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e7…643fbacked Saint Helena | 56c | 127.45$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Saint Helena | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Saint Helena | 56c | 92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -9.9wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Saint Helena | 56c | 92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Saint Helena | 59c | 79.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Seychelles | 78c | 56.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Seychelles | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Saint Helena | 56c | 49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Seychelles | 57c | 47.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3378…149fbacked Seychelles | 44c | 43.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Seychelles | 67c | 41.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Saint Helena | 73c | 41.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Saint Helena | 56c | 38.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Seychelles | 40c | 36.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbe…0d27backed Saint Helena | 65c | 30.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Seychelles | 41c | 26.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier B: Saint Helena vs Seychellesthis page
- T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier B: Saint Helena vs Seychelles - Who wins the toss?Seychelles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.