Lol · resolved market
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a01036fb6b78e3de7c969f9817dbc4bd9c5d532ff38cf9be1468d82c70cbe90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Deep Cross Gamingof CTBC Flying Oyster, Deep Cross Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 42c | 3,506$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Deep Cross Gaming | 57c | 2,505$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.51 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Deep Cross Gaming | 58c | 2,272$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.32 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 43c | 1,900$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.14 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 2c | 1,446$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 3c | 1,238$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Deep Cross Gaming | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 35c | 1,001$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.25 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…d922backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 8cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Deep Cross Gaming | 76c | 943$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.27 | 191 | 68.6%131 W · 60 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 8c | 774$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 12c | 750$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 10.2%18 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 15c | 320$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 607 | 38.7%235 W · 372 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 239 | 43.1%103 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 12c | 258$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…2a25backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 44c | 180$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 964 | 52.7%508 W · 456 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 22c | 136$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 43c | 125$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Deep Cross Gaming | 59c | 111.81$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 43c | 110$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 430 | 40.9%176 W · 254 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 146 | 28.8%42 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 597 | 40.7%243 W · 354 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 350 | 48%168 W · 182 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 299 | 42.8%128 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 387 | 43.9%170 W · 217 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 342 | 35.7%122 W · 220 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Deep Cross Gaming | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Deep Cross Gaming | 59c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Deep Cross Gaming | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Deep Cross Gaming | 59c | 34.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Deep Cross Gaming | 61c | 23.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier PlayoffsDeep Cross Gaming won
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 WinnerDeep Cross Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.