Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: enjoy boys vs Team Stels - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a21f44e5edee4f094d090dd4b30efda5a8d0d155c7f7d210e87c0be08a7dc0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Stelsof enjoy boys, Team Stels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed enjoy boys | 68c | 2,116$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.27 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Stels | 33c | 1,500$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.7 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed enjoy boys | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Stels | 35c | 648.39$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.39 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked enjoy boys | 43c | 632.32$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.01 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Stels | 68c | 503.96$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.31 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked enjoy boys | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Stels | 37c | 474$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.93 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Stels | 53c | 366.21$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.37 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed enjoy boys | 69c | 250$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed enjoy boys | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed enjoy boys | 25c | 225$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Stels | 60c | 187.66$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb4…9ed0backed Team Stels | 67c | 183$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.88 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Team Stels | 60c | 139.9$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed enjoy boys | 26c | 109.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed enjoy boys | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Stels | 61c | 93.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked enjoy boys | 45c | 80.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked enjoy boys | 46c | 67.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked enjoy boys | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked enjoy boys | 68c | 58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked Team Stels | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Team Stels | 77c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Team Stels | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Team Stels | 54c | 25.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed enjoy boys | 42c | 25.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Team Stels | 57c | 25.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed enjoy boys | 71c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: enjoy boys vs Team Stels - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: enjoy boys vs Team Stels (BO3) - European Pro League Group ATeam Stels won
- Dota 2: enjoy boys vs Team Stels - Game 1 Winnerenjoy boys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.