NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a6cf042e18d9fbc05392db668ab13c354f6bcb176ac5616a2d098097fdcd479
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 1,577$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.1 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 47c | 1,459$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.73 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Under | 53c | 1,340$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.62 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 47c | 1,340$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.62 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Over | 44c | 1,005$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.65 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 53c | 571.17$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.45 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Over | 49c | 369.84$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.22 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +13.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 44c | 228.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.57 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 56c | 228.57$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.57 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 205.39$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.69 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 46c | 173$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Under | 54c | 124.07$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba1…b0b6backed Under | 54c | 116$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 112.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 46c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4e…dc93backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 46c | 48.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c5…cd3cbacked Under | 54c | 26.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5this page
- Canucks vs. KingsKings won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.