Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kramsach: Fares Zakaria vs Flynn Thomas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aaec88400ff3ae54a40e4ad33410d25d1d244427132cec4802e67c244001047
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flynn Thomasof Fares Zakaria, Flynn Thomas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Fares Zakaria | 43c | 645.92$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Fares Zakaria | 40c | 455$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Flynn Thomas | 60c | 450$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Flynn Thomas | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Flynn Thomas | 64c | 100.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 330 | 43.9%145 W · 185 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Fares Zakaria | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Flynn Thomas | 58c | 92.27$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Flynn Thomas | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Flynn Thomas | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Fares Zakaria | 26c | 85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked Flynn Thomas | 59c | 76.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Fares Zakaria | 39c | 58.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Flynn Thomas | 62c | 58.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Flynn Thomas | 56c | 55.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Flynn Thomas | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Flynn Thomas | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Fares Zakaria | 44c | 48.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Flynn Thomas | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Fares Zakaria | 39c | 26.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Flynn Thomas | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 826 | 59.3%490 W · 336 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.