South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Tolima vs. Deportivo Táchira FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aba9b5982b5dcf6f9d1954c7044901b7d199e7a59b5d4843890fbd8d3bdf3de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 4,299$2,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.38 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 27c | 3,331$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.2 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 37c | 811.98$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 664.5$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.27 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 40c | 632.57$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 44c | 393.54$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 344.3$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.98 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 55c | 330.78$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 69c | 266.65$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 61c | 258.42$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.73 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed Over | 63c | 199.63$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 180.76$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 63c | 174.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 60c | 166.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 34c | 130$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 66c | 123.68$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.17 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Under | 34c | 118.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.78 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Under | 70c | 110.71$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 72c | 59.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Under | 67c | 37.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 31c | 34.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Under | 43c | 29.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 72c | 28.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…85e2backed Under | 65c | 19.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Tolima vs. Deportivo Táchira FC: O/U 1.5this page
- CD Tolima vs. Deportivo Táchira FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Tolima vs. Deportivo Táchira FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Tolima vs. Deportivo Táchira FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CD Tolima (-1.5)Deportivo Táchira FC won
- Spread: Deportivo Táchira FC (-2.5)CD Tolima won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.