CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ad702b59f6215fc10c661b496b41431a714a64ad4997bb02224a9eb88c983cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof ex-MANA eSports, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked ex-MANA eSports | 4c | 5,693$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.65 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 1,983$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.57 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-MANA eSports | 50c | 1,730$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.11 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed ex-MANA eSports | 1c | 1,553$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a856backed ex-MANA eSports | 12c | 680.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed ex-MANA eSports | 32c | 420.27$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.29 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bushido Wildcats | 12c | 404.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.87 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed Bushido Wildcats | 68c | 336.97$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.97 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-MANA eSports | 46c | 259.85$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.85 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Bushido Wildcats | 71c | 215.34$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…ff46backed ex-MANA eSports | 51c | 205.54$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.83 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 199.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.98 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b00…c13cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 181.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed ex-MANA eSports | 49c | 164.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 256 | 35.5%91 W · 165 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dd…b35bbacked ex-MANA eSports | 50c | 136.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed ex-MANA eSports | 15c | 128.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed ex-MANA eSports | 49c | 126$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Bushido Wildcats | 40c | 79.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked ex-MANA eSports | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…4ceabacked Bushido Wildcats | 59c | 63.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed ex-MANA eSports | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed ex-MANA eSports | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7637…a123backed Bushido Wildcats | 65c | 47.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 46.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed ex-MANA eSports | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…319bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb827…4c6bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 27.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…8861backed Bushido Wildcats | 64c | 20.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…b948backed ex-MANA eSports | 65c | 19.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29fa…0eeebacked Bushido Wildcats | 59c | 18.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -6.4wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 59c | 18.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.