Fifa International · resolved market
Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-06-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b161a0d30523fc1f4181fdd35834ffc1987188e682237ff3c9059c3acca6cfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 10c | 2,864$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.34 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 8c | 2,677$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.35 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 11c | 1,757$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.3 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 11c | 1,757$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.07 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e4…0779backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +167.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 10c | 1,217$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.44 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 7c | 940$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 527.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 7c | 330.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 9c | 253.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…9dbebacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes | 10c | 183$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Yes | 9c | 182.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd20a…f546backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…ab3abacked Yes | 12c | 162.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 9c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 256 | 41%105 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Yes | 12c | 102$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…8e02backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…51c8backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-06-04?this page
- Will Andorra vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw?No won
- Will Andorra win on 2026-06-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.