CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b1a820bf3f6214a73aff0a7f549903ea30e093198ccdfe5c57e3bd0475eaf30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- largadosypeladosof Fake do Biru, largadosypelados
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed Fake do Biru | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…7970backed Fake do Biru | 18c | 586.65$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Fake do Biru | 50c | 488.27$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.91 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked largadosypelados | 79c | 439.59$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.39 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fake do Biru | 27c | 350.2$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Fake do Biru | 18c | 294.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked largadosypelados | 50c | 215.93$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.97 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked largadosypelados | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed largadosypelados | 77c | 180.69$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fake do Biru | 17c | 173.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked largadosypelados | 48c | 130.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fake do Biru | 23c | 126.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked largadosypelados | 50c | 72.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed largadosypelados | 77c | 62.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…d8b8backed largadosypelados | 63c | 58.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked largadosypelados | 62c | 56.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked largadosypelados | 67c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Fake do Biru | 19c | 55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Fake do Biru | 46c | 50.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Fake do Biru | 24c | 48.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed largadosypelados | 80c | 38.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cca…54ccbacked largadosypelados | 56c | 18.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked largadosypelados | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed largadosypelados | 76c | 17.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked largadosypelados | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Playoffslargadosypelados won
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados - Map 2 Winnerlargadosypelados won
- Map Handicap: FDB (-1.5) vs largadosypelados (+1.5)largadosypelados won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.