South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b8b86325e9a05f6668f89fa8f7a91492eefda4f868ad3d5905504451e61ea1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clube do Remoof SE Palmeiras, Clube do Remo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed SE Palmeiras | 20c | 1,717$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.93 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Clube do Remo | 79c | 488.36$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.47 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked SE Palmeiras | 9c | 276.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…d5a3backed SE Palmeiras | 24c | 266.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed SE Palmeiras | 28c | 249.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed SE Palmeiras | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Clube do Remo | 75c | 102.11$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked SE Palmeiras | 25c | 73.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Clube do Remo | 76c | 62.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed SE Palmeiras | 24c | 56.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed SE Palmeiras | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed SE Palmeiras | 25c | 49.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Clube do Remo | 76c | 26.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Clube do Remo | 76c | 13.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Clube do Remo | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)this page
- Clube do Remo vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Clube do Remo vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5Over won
- Clube do Remo vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5Under won
- Clube do Remo vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5Under won
- Clube do Remo vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Clube do Remo (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: Clube do Remo (-2.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)Clube do Remo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.