CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c0436568445cb50ad5d876cb5563585aae9e894d7f553b15fbdc7be7ddf3033
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fluxo W7Mof Fluxo W7M, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fluxo W7M | 50c | 7,617$3,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800.86 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Fluxo W7M | 67c | 5,798$3,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.57 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Imperial | 34c | 5,081$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.91 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Imperial | 52c | 3,981$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.61 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Imperial | 17c | 1,581$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.48 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Imperial | 53c | 1,322$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.04 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Imperial | 66c | 1,278$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.88 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Fluxo W7M | 57c | 1,077$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.15 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…9dfcbacked Imperial | 43c | 1,043$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Imperial | 41c | 1,000$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.41 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Fluxo W7M | 72c | 912.86$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.5 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Fluxo W7M | 54c | 793.52$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.67 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Imperial | 51c | 737.7$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.75 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Fluxo W7M | 38c | 462$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.44 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Imperial | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Imperial | 48c | 340.15$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.27 | 219 | 49.8%109 W · 110 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Fluxo W7M | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Imperial | 39c | 283.5$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.55 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Fluxo W7M | 34c | 274.08$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.89 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Imperial | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Fluxo W7M | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Imperial | 16c | 139.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b88…16e6backed Imperial | 61c | 131.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -18.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Fluxo W7M | 50c | 125$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.89 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Imperial | 43c | 124$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Imperial | 23c | 121.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Fluxo W7M | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Fluxo W7M | 39c | 56.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Imperial | 67c | 52.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Imperial | 57c | 49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Imperial | 57c | 49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Imperial | 57c | 49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Imperial | 49c | 40.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Fluxo W7M | 42c | 34.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Imperial | 65c | 31.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Imperial | 45c | 29.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Imperial | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Fluxo W7M | 75c | 17.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9434…d8d8backed Fluxo W7M | 71c | 15.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 67cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier PlayoffsFluxo W7M won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)Fluxo W7M won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.