CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs JiJieHao - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c0d9f358acd2f0b48261be227c6e96392954b3cf70a7115f3d09ee2e69e1d70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sangalof Sangal, JiJieHao
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked JiJieHao | 14c | 8,159$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.63 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1407…e56cbacked JiJieHao | 4c | 2,532$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…5e63backed JiJieHao | 3c | 2,302$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked JiJieHao | 3c | 1,592$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked JiJieHao | 15c | 718.24$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.72 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed JiJieHao | 28c | 617.12$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.35 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked JiJieHao | 13c | 599.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.78 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed JiJieHao | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.71 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Sangal | 63c | 145.16$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed JiJieHao | 67c | 89.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked JiJieHao | 16c | 71.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…ffc2backed JiJieHao | 69c | 43.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…1044backed JiJieHao | 35c | 33.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed JiJieHao | 36c | 31.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed JiJieHao | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs JiJieHao - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 16JiJieHao won
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs JiJieHao - Map 2 WinnerJiJieHao won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.